4, another 2020 red state. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. Trump:70,760 (61.01%) Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. And this basic arithmetic is in place even before voters factor in the disgraceful fact that VP candidate Kamala Harris is a self-admitted BLM-backed Marxist. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. [41][note 1][42]. Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Are You with Someone Whos Been Cookin for Decades? You have entered an incorrect email address! Red States 1 Arizona 1 Alabama 2 California 2 Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. Here's the count: 2020: Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. But Pennsylvania is now red. President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. took back Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by surging in the suburbs. We may not know results in PA fordays. The most significant difference between blue and red states occurred from late June to early August. Next is Alabama at No. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. But also, the early voter turnout we're seeing has been - seems to have been a factor. The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. Will Israel Strike Before Iran Buys Russian S-400 Air Defense Systems. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? The state had an additional redistricting before 2018. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . Biden won Maricopa with just over 50% of the vote, a large increase compared with Clinton's 45% in 2016. In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. You have to beware with these reports, though. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. By household income, Obama got a majority of households with less than $50,000 in annual income. Purple states are also often referred to as "battleground" states. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. Special elections, if any, are excluded. In 2018, the governor's race was settled by just 55,000 votes. Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. Includes 2016 Races for President, Senate, House, Governor and Key Ballot Measures. The 2020 election has caused anxiety among Americans to remain high as some states are still counting ballots. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. The Bay State added more than 480,000 people last decade for a total population of 7,029,917 in 2020. Updated on July 09, 2019 Our list of the most conservative states to live and work featured states favorable to people who enjoy greater liberties, educational choice, right-to-work status, and religious freedom. In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. After the results were final with the Republican George W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, as The Atlantic's December 2001 cover story by David Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated. Experts weigh in on swing-state status. While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. If you would like to change your settings or withdraw consent at any time, the link to do so is in our privacy policy accessible from our home page.. That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. What determines a state's "color"? The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. More than 75% of the land area is red, when looking at the map based on land areas, while shifting to the population view only about 46% of the map is red. [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. But Biden won the most votes in the most populous county, also called Jefferson. [10][13], According to another source, in 1976, John Chancellor, the anchorman for NBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. We identify swing states as. It feels like the new Florida. In recent years the state government has moved from purple with a democratic governor and a republican legislature with a modest majority, to fire engine red. 2020 Electoral Map Results. Data: The Princeton Gerrymandering Project through 2018; 270toWin research. But in western Pennsylvania, as well as the northeast, it's more popular and has led to a boom in some areas that have been struggling economically for a long time. State voted with the overall winning candidate. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. All Rights Reserved. The Online Home of Author and Investor, Dick Young, President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks on Americas Energy Dominance and Manufacturing Revival Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2019, at the Shell Pennsylvania Petrochemicals Complex in Monaca, Pa. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour). [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14]. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . What are red and blue states? That march then met Hillary Clinton's 'blue wall' states which, at one time, included Pennsylvania. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). Political polarization in the United States, popular vote majority by a double-digit margin, did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote, Political ideologies in the United States, "When red meant Democratic and blue was Republican. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. It delivered a big margin for Clinton in2016. Manage Settings While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his. 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Geographic borders associated with district numbers may have changed. They think even if it moved a few votes it could be enough to win thestate. Rural Clinton County, near State College, is the most politically balanced county, with 43 percent Republicans and 43 percent Democrats. Electoral votes invalidated. elections. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. Blue States No. Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? On August 5, the risk of death in red states was 1.8 times higher than in blue. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. In 1908, The New York Times printed a special color map, using blue for Democrats and yellow for Republicans, to detail Theodore Roosevelt's 1904 electoral victory. When a state is called a "red state", it means that it has traditionally voted in favor of Republican candidates. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. The Red-Blue terminology was popularized in 2000. However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. But maps that color entire counties red or blue can dupe viewers: they make both states . Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about . Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? [30] It attempts to represent the margin of victory in each county by coloring each with a shade between true blue and true red. Success! 10. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Pennsylvania has a long history of being consequential in presidential elections choosing 20 of the last 25 . Dec. 10, 2020. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. Use arrow keys to move around the map. Special elections, if any, are excluded. I don't know where to begin! Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. Which parts of Pennsylvania are red and blue -- or something in between? Support local journalism. Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. Nevertheless, both parties have adopted logos that use their respective colors i.e., a blue D for Democrats and a white GOP with a red elephant for Republicans. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. In 2016, President Donald Trump won the state by .7%, which totalled about 44,000 votes, and flipped three counties from blue to red. Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. They had ads, social media, conference calls, press releases, you name it on, all on fracking. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Trump:61,386 (60.51%) Like around the country, we're seeing. In a 2020 update from the Rockefeller Institute, the disparity between traditional blue and red states is even more significant, especially for the state of New York, Republicans' favorite target . The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. Pennsylvania has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. Sorry Marc. V4 Stands Against North African and Middle Eastern Invasion, Robo-Advisors: When You Have a Lot More to Lose than Money, FARM AMERICA: New York Citys Finest Cheesemongers, The Fed Independent and Non Political Joins The Resistance, Tucker Carlson Interviews My Favorite Florida Farmer. These are general election results for the years listed. Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic Later, in the 1888 presidential election, Grover Cleveland and Benjamin Harrison used maps that coded blue for the Republicans, the color perceived to represent the Union and "Lincoln's Party", and red for the Democrats. Anita What do you want to know? The numbers are clear: in 2020, 57.97 percent of Washington voters chose Joe Biden, and only 38.77 percent chose Donald Trump. But the cultural wounds cut the deepest, and are the most likely to drive working-class people to look at the coastal elites and say: "That. Update on Election Day in Philadelphia from the DA's office here: "As of 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 68 incidents were reported to the Election Task Force and 67 incidents were peacefully resolved. To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. Youve Answered Lifes Questions. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, New York and Pennsylvaniaare also among the ten densest states in the US. Explained! Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. Here are the 10 states with the largest Democratic advantage: Wyoming - R+26 West Virginia - R+23 North Dakota - R+20 Oklahoma - R+20 Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. Cartographers have traditionally limited the number of classes so that it is always obvious which class a color shade represents. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. Pennsylvania was one of the most closely watched states throughout the 2020 election. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. So how does all that look visually? Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. Traditionally, the practice of designating a U.S. state as red or blue is based on the first-past-the-post winner-take-all system employed for presidential elections by 48 of the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. That solved the problem. NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". An even more detailed precinct-by-precinct breakdown demonstrates that in many cases, large cities voted for Obama, and their suburbs were divided. DeSantis: Standing Up to Corporate Activism. Trump's New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. *Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. So, assuming NYT's 98%+ reporting estimate is correct, Trump got more raw votes out of Washington County like he wanted quite a bit more. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). [1] According to The Washington Post, journalist Tim Russert invented these terms during his televised coverage of the 2000 United States presidential election. Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. We're not going to get a call out ofPennsylvania. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. He held his own in . (lighter shading indicates win 5%), Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote VOA explains. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. The. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. Light bulbs on each state changed from undecided white to Republican . In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. Voters will also nominate candidates for Congress and the state Legislature. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties.